Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 74.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 3 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 3 Jul 2026 to 7 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 3 Jul 2026 and the lowest 12.5% on 1 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 34.5% on 4 Jul 2026. $7.17K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 3 Jul 2026 – 7 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 25.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.6K |
| Tangible-Ceremony | Yes | 492.08 |
| spursgobig | Yes | 226 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for July 2026, scheduled to be released on August 7, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-jobs-added-in-july-20260702221813246
| Yes |
| 176.67 |
| jiamaoweilue | Yes | 104.83 |
| balthazar | Yes | 95.1 |
| coldhot | Yes | 59.59 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| dropmeplease | Yes | 48 |
| Neon Pioneer 64D7 | Yes | 20.8 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
