Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 9.77K | $0.604 | $7.28K | +$1.38K |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.12K | $0.738 | $2.3K | 5d ago |
|
| No |
| 6K |
| $0.930 |
| $5.67K |
| +$90 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 4.72K | $0.848 | $4.39K | +$391.03 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 2.3K | $0.800 | $2.13K | +$287.44 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1.3K | $0.850 | $1.14K | +$32.5 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 1.2K | $0.860 | $1.12K | +$90 |
 Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Yes | 4.85K | $0.175 | $1.12K | +$265.96 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 520.13 | $0.590 | $351.09 | +$44.21 |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | No | 181.42 | $0.959 | $180.61 | +$6.62 |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | No | 30.9 | $0.900 | $29.77 | +$1.96 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 89.55 | $0.067 | $5.78 | -$0.22 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 74.68 | $0.502 | $4.11 | -$33.39 |
 Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 315 | $0.009 | $0.16 | -$2.84 |
| buy |
| 810.98 |
| $0.617 |
| $500 |
| 12d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 130.03 | $0.570 | $74.12 | 12d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 175.44 | $0.570 | $100 | 12d ago |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No | sell | 999.99 | $0.490 | $489.6 | 24d ago |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.85K | $0.175 | $850 | 25d ago |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No | buy | 388.8 | $0.549 | $213.45 | 28d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 583.4 | $0.550 | $320.87 | 28d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 781.25 | $0.513 | $401.09 | 28d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 716.1 | $0.680 | $486.95 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 781.25 | $0.640 | $500 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.72K | $0.848 | $4K | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 101.51 | $0.860 | $87.3 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 761.23 | $0.260 | $197.92 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 322.46 | $0.310 | $100 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 1.2K | $0.379 | $455.22 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 200 | $0.290 | $58 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 2.4K | $0.436 | $1.05K | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.540 | $700 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 74.68 | $0.460 | $34.35 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.39K | $0.590 | $2K | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 101.35 | $0.967 | $98.01 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes | buy | 149.25 | $0.670 | $100 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 202.7 | $0.740 | $150 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Delcy Rodriguez by June 30?Yes | buy | 64.1 | $0.390 | $25 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 9.24K | $0.983 | $9.09K | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?No | buy | 530.88 | $0.942 | $500 | May 20, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.400 | $100 | May 15, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 119.05 | $0.420 | $50 | May 15, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.303 | $30.31 | May 15, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?No | buy | 92 | $0.350 | $32.2 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 424.55 | $0.800 | $339.64 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 1.88K | $0.800 | $1.5K | May 12, 2026 |
 Will the US lose between 0 and 50k jobs in April?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?No | buy | 31.72 | $0.631 | $20 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 18.05K | $0.997 | $18K | May 2, 2026 |
 Will Iran Play in the World Cup?Yes | buy | 320 | $0.843 | $269.84 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.033 | $15 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?Yes | buy | 133.36 | $0.965 | $128.69 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?No | sell | 85.14 | $0.630 | $53.64 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20.17K | $0.983 | $19.83K | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?No | sell | 180 | $0.609 | $109.56 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Elizabeth Warren vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.960 | $80 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?No | buy | 146.87 | $0.953 | $140 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?No | buy | 522.32 | $0.957 | $500 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Elizabeth Warren vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?No | buy | 210.53 | $0.950 | $200 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Elizabeth Warren vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?No | buy | 217.29 | $0.920 | $200 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?No | buy | 325 | $0.923 | $300 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Chuck Schumer vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Chuck Schumer vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?No | buy | 118.89 | $0.900 | $107 | Mar 18, 2026 |