Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.4%. Yes opened at 13% on 12 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 23 daily closes on record from 12 Feb 2026 to 6 Mar 2026, the highest close was 13% on 12 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.6% on 3 Mar 2026.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 7, 2:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 12 Feb 2026 – 6 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Feb 2026 | 13.0% |
| 6 Mar 2026 | 2.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.85K |
| immanuelcan | Yes | 623.05 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 188.42 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for February 2026, scheduled to be released on March 6, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-jobs-added-in-february-246
| panchengshan | Yes | 52.6 |
| nryy | Yes | 50 |
| xinjisi | Yes | 46 |
| shifubu | Yes | 43.8 |
| Rapid Pulse C73C | Yes | 33.64 |
| kouyadan | Yes | 30 |
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