Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.2%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 17 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 197 daily closes on record from 17 Dec 2025 to 22 Jul 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 12.5% on 17 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 3 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 1.9% on 18 Dec 2025. $1.52K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 22, 8:45 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 197 points, 17 Dec 2025 – 22 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2025 | 12.5% |
| 22 Jul 2026 | 1.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 945.21 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 190.53 |
| ard-tech | Yes | 180.25 |
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Ethiopian House of Peoples' Representatives election. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Ethiopian Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ethiopian government, specifically the National Election Board of Ethiopia (NEBE) (nebe.org.et/en).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethiopia-parliamentary-election-winner
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 147.8 |
| Jade Tide 8206 | Yes | 68.87 |
| VictoryGod | Yes | 39.94 |
| tamalaile | Yes | 20 |
| pmaker | Yes | 19.08 |
| saasdev | No | 16.88 |
| Ivory Quasar 70A8 | Yes | 14 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
