
Yes is at 14.5%, down 36 points from 50% when the market opened on 10 Sep 2026.
The high was 50% on 10 Sep 2026 and the low 12.5% on 1 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 12.5%. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 32% on 11 Sep 2026.
$45.5 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $773.21 since listing. The order book holds $129.27, with a 9.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is AJSV with 198 shares; the largest No position is Started-with-20-USD with 282.
Trading closes on 16 Jan 2027, 99 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 8, 11:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 30 points · 10 Sep 2026 – 8 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 8 Oct 2026 | 14.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Started-with-20-USD | No | 282 |
| AJSV | Yes | 197.96 |
| AMAM13 | Yes | 105 |
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if total sponsor capital committed to the Tropical Forest Forever Facility (TFFF) is greater than or equal to $10,000,000,000 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution value is the "Pledged capital" figure displayed on the Sponsor Capital gauge at the top of the tracker. If the tracker separately displays an "Invested capital" figure not already included in the pledged figure, the two are summed, with no contributor's capital counted more than once. This market will remain open until January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET to accommodate a lag in reporting. Only commitments made on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will count. From January 1, 2027 through January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the resolution value is the gauge figure less any contributor amount whose commitment is attributed, by the tracker or by the contributor's own announcement, to a date after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A commitment's date is the date of the contributor's public announcement of the pledge, not the date the tracker first reflects it. Revisions published after January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the TFFF Watch Investment Tracker at https://tfffwatch.org/investment-tracker. If the TFFF Watch Investment Tracker becomes permanently unavailable or stops publishing these totals, this market will resolve based on official TFFF announcements at https://tfff.earth and a consensus of credible reporting, applying the same standard of sponsor capital formally pledged or paid in.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-tfff-reach-10-billion-in-2026
| tradetosurvive1 |
| No |
| 50 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 28.25 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 20 |
| Miaomi666 | Yes | 20 |
| pppnn | No | 20 |
| yellowfinn | No | 20 |
| nibblemaxxing | Yes | 0.79 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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