
Yes is at 0.1%, down 8.5 points from 8.5% when the market opened on 5 Dec 2025.
Across the 300 daily closes on record from 5 Dec 2025 to 30 Oct 2026 (31 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 8.5% on 5 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 6 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.1%; a month before, 0.1%. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 3% on 6 Dec 2025.
Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) ranks third of the 3 outcomes in “2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner”. Kuomintang (KMT) leads at 69.5%; Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) is at 26.7%.
$76.85K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $46.95K, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 355 trades, $321.5 bought Yes and $27.09K bought No; the largest was a $1.12K buy of No at 97.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Lucerys with 3.4K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 45.2K. Ten wallets hold 74.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 29 Nov 2026, 30 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 4:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 300 points, 5 Dec 2025 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Dec 2025 | 8.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 45.24K |
| Lucerys | Yes | 3.41K |
| balthazar | Yes | 3.08K |
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (mayor or magistrate) elections for Taiwan’s major special municipalities, counties, and cities during these elections. A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party. Taiwan’s local governments include the following cities, special municipalities, and counties: Cities/special municipalities (mayoral elections): Taipei City, New Taipei City, Taoyuan City, Taichung City, Tainan City, Kaohsiung City, Keelung City, Hsinchu City, Chiayi City Counties (magistrate elections): Yilan County, Hsinchu County, Miaoli County, Changhua County, Nantou County, Yunlin County, Chiayi County, Pingtung County, Taitung County, Hualien County, Penghu County, Lienchiang County, Kinmen County Only elections for the listed cities, special municipalities or counties will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections. In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections aren’t known by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
| e46m3 |
| Yes |
| 3.06K |
| planktonXD | Yes | 2.71K |
| merod | Yes | 2.22K |
| kl0414 | Yes | 2.19K |
| aHjCz | Yes | 2.17K |
| donthackme | Yes | 1.75K |
| korda77 | Yes | 1.38K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-taiwanese-local-elections-party-winner
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