Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 4.7% on 14 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 14 Aug 2026 to 17 Sep 2026, the highest close was 8.7% on 29 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 9 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points up, to 8.7% on 29 Aug 2026. $2.46K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 14 Aug 2026 – 17 Sep 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2026 | 4.7% |
| 17 Sep 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 8.42K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 935.47 |
| balthazar | Yes | 700 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the sixth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If fewer than six parties win seats in the Riksdag, or if voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the sixth finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/sweden-parliamentary-election-6th-place-20260812164320300
| Yes |
| 198 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| Menacing-Revitalization-Anorak | Yes | 100 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 100 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 90.3 |
| Attached-Prairie | Yes | 46.82 |
| ACara | Yes | 30 |
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