Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 45.5% on 24 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 24 Feb 2026 to 25 Feb 2026, the highest close was 45.5% on 24 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 25 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 45 points down, to 0.3% on 25 Feb 2026. $4.61K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 26, 8:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 24 Feb 2026 – 25 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Feb 2026 | 45.5% |
| 25 Feb 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 12.12K |
| Bleak-Anywhere | Yes | 1K |
| TENETENET | Yes | 1K |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 163 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The State of the Union address is scheduled to take place on February 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the time (ET) Donald Trump delivers the 2026 State of the Union address. The State of the Union will be considered to have begun at the time Donald Trump begins speaking. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the earlier bracket. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-time-will-the-state-of-the-union-begin
| EdwardLewis | Yes | 100 |
| xiaodouzi | Yes | 100 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 99.99 |
| Anon321321 | Yes | 63 |
| shinaole | Yes | 57.83 |
| shine | Yes | 51.63 |
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