Analytics
Yes is at 62%, up 49 points from 13% when the market opened on 30 Oct 2026.
Across the 8 daily closes on record from 30 Oct 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 62.2% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 10% on 3 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 42 points up, to 52.4% on 5 Nov 2026.
80,000-82,000 is the favourite of the 11 outcomes in “Bitcoin price on November 5?”, ahead of 78,000-80,000 at 31%.
$11.14K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $11.33K since listing. The order book holds $41.37K, with a 3.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 114 trades, $5.56K bought Yes and $909.53 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 8.5K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 5.1K. Ten wallets hold 88.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 5 Nov 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 9:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 30 Oct 2026 – 5 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2026 | 13.0% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 62.2% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 8.53K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.06K |
| grasstoucher69 | No | 4.68K |
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-price-on-november-5-2026
| averagerandomman | Yes | 2.93K |
| 0xDB5 | No | 1.94K |
| coinfilippe | No | 1.17K |
| Quaint-Inch | Yes | 696.26 |
| balthazar | Yes | 626.49 |
| woshisb | Yes | 603 |
| Vagabund97 | No | 600 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
