Analytics
Yes is at 7.5%, down 12 points from 19.5% when the market opened on 24 Oct 2026.
Across the 5 daily closes on record from 24 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 33% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 9% on 30 Oct 2026. The current quote, 7.5%, is below every close in that window; the latest close was 9% on 30 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 9% on 30 Oct 2026.
78,000-80,000 ranks third of the 11 outcomes in “Bitcoin price on October 30?”. 76,000-78,000 leads at 79.5%; 74,000-76,000 is at 11.7%.
$18.43K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $20.86K since listing. The order book holds $23.22K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 151 trades, $3.82K bought Yes and $5.02K bought No.
The largest Yes position is averagerandomman with 2.1K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 3.2K. Ten wallets hold 88.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 30 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 2:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 24 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | 19.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 9.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.23K |
| averagerandomman | Yes | 2.13K |
| Impressive-Steak | No | 1.77K |
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-price-on-october-30-2026
| ftrxc64afn | No | 1.67K |
| dad49 | Yes | 1.66K |
| coinfilippe | Yes | 1.19K |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 971.69 |
| balthazar | Yes | 920 |
| DXMfE1CTkJ8fRps6yiEuTbeMyWzJ8 | No | 674 |
| woshisb | Yes | 380 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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