Will the Powerball jackpot hit $2 billion by September 14?

Resolved

No, settled Sep 15, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$47.5K

Resolved

Settled

Sep 15, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 15 Sep 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 4 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 4 Sep 2025 to 15 Sep 2025, the highest close was 43.5% on 5 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 14 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 0.3% on 8 Sep 2025. $47.52K traded over the market's life.

13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Sep 16, 8:39 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 4 Sep 2025 – 15 Sep 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
4 Sep 2025	25.5%
15 Sep 2025	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
gexua	Yes	5K
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	1.09K
LuckymeD	Yes	1K
Papy	Yes	500

10 of 13 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Powerball jackpot is equal to or greater than $2 billion on any drawing between September 3 and September 14, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve once any Powerball jackpot reaches or exceeds the value specified in the title, or once the estimated jackpot on September 14, 2025, is finalized and no jackpot within the specified timeframe has been equal to or greater than that value. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Powerball (https://www.powerball.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.