Analytics
Resolved Yes on 30 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 48%. Yes opened at 45.5% on 28 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 28 Mar 2026 to 29 Mar 2026, the highest close was 48% on 29 Mar 2026 and the lowest 45.5% on 28 Mar 2026. $12.84K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 31, 6:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 28 Mar 2026 – 29 Mar 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Mar 2026 | 45.5% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 48.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.3K |
| Ardtysrt01 | No | 255.52 |
| 88mnm88 | No | 139.66 |
| daroghi | No | 30 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Resolution source: https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/number-of-us-flights-delayed-march-27-265
| Neat-Robot | Yes | 0.04 |
| Scornful-Conductor | Yes | 0.01 |
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