Will the number of Israel Rocket Alerts since Operation Lion's Roar be at least 24,000 by March 20?

Resolved

No, settled Mar 21, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$22.0K

Resolved

Settled

Mar 21, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 21 Mar 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 23% on 18 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 18 Mar 2026 to 21 Mar 2026, the highest close was 23% on 18 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 21 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 7% on 19 Mar 2026. $21.97K traded over the market's life.

18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 21, 10:54 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 18 Mar 2026 – 21 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–30%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
18 Mar 2026	23.0%
21 Mar 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
thatwasepic	Yes	1K
DiamondHands11	Yes	822.26
Vicious-Trooper	Yes	209.26
0xRocket666	Yes	200

10 of 18 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more Rocket Alerts in Israel since the beginning of Operation Lion's Roar, the joint Israel & US attack on Iran, according to the RocketAlert.live counter as of March 20, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the counter for "Rocket Alerts - Since February 28, 2026" beneath the subheading "Operation Lion's Roar - Joint Israel & US attack on Iran" (see: https://rocketalert.live/) as displayed at 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time (UTC+2) on Friday, March 20, 2026. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the check time, resolution will be based on the most recent value displayed prior to resolution time. Note: Only the value displayed in the RocketAlert.live counter will qualify, regardless of reports from Israeli authorities, news outlets, or other tracking sources.