
Resolved No on 25 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 19.5% on 23 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 23 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026, the highest close was 19.5% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 24 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 0.5% on 24 Oct 2026. $516.7 traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 25, 6:01 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 23 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2026 | 19.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 0.5% |
26 more markets, none above 4.0%.
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 294.85 |
| ConfusedUngaBunga | Yes | 224 |
| AJSV | Yes | 177.7 |
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Terra model (5.7+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Terra" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Terra would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Terra or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Terra" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Sol, or GPT-5.6 Luna, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-gpt-terra-5pt7-released-onptptpt-20261022
| glm4.1.fund | Yes | 66.49 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| DJa | Yes | 34 |
| balthazar | Yes | 26.39 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 25 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 20 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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