Analytics
Yes is at 98.8%, up 50 points from 48.5% when the market opened on 3 Mar 2026.
Across the 229 daily closes on record from 3 Mar 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (11 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.8% on 3 Sep 2026 and the lowest 48.5% on 3 Mar 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 99%; a month before, 99%. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 85.5% on 25 Apr 2026.
$958.35 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $15.94K, with a 1.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 74 trades, $319.91 bought Yes and $4.81 bought No.
The largest Yes position is waive with 168 shares; the largest No position is Mojito9 with 160. Ten wallets hold 95.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 8 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 11:58 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 229 points, 3 Mar 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Mar 2026 | 48.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 98.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| waive | Yes | 168.22 |
| Mojito9 | No | 160 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 57.2 |
Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No." If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-nevada-abortion-protection-amendment-pass
| aenews2 |
| Yes |
| 43.82 |
| Bright Horizon B143 | Yes | 15.39 |
| Warmhearted-Department | Yes | 10.75 |
| aliiz | No | 7.88 |
| litigation | No | 7.73 |
| Dr.PNL | No | 6.16 |
| 48xsds | No | 5.06 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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