Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 12 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 12 Sep 2026 to 1 Oct 2026, the highest close was 25.5% on 12 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.7% on 1 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 9.5% on 14 Sep 2026. $12.29K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 5:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 12 Sep 2026 – 1 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Sep 2026 | 25.5% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| meagainsttheworld | Yes | 281.49 |
| balthazar | Yes | 151.17 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 115.64 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi military forces enter any part of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Houthi military forces" refers to the military forces of the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. "Enter" means that the Houthi military forces, even temporarily, deliberately operate within any part of Saudi Arabia, other than as prisoners of war or as emissaries as described below. Bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim of Houthi entry will not qualify without actual entry being established. The entrance of Houthi emissaries for the purpose of negotiating an agreement or other diplomatic or commercial endeavors will not alone qualify. In the event of genuine ambiguity, this market may remain open for three days after the specified date. If Houthi entry into Saudi Arabia is not established by the end of the third calendar day, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/houthis-enter-saudi-arabia-byptptpt
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 97.49 |
| IFZ | Yes | 92.98 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 49.98 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 20 |
| ViscaElBarca | Yes | 20 |
| Ethical-Bamboo | Yes | 14 |
| Ivory Quasar 70A8 | Yes | 14 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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