Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 45% on 19 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 19 Sep 2026 to 20 Sep 2026, the highest close was 45% on 19 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 20 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 44 points down, to 0.5% on 20 Sep 2026. $2.89K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 21, 4:02 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 19 Sep 2026 – 20 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | 45.0% |
| 20 Sep 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jackli003 | Yes | 200 |
| sanduspace | Yes | 100 |
| .heart | Yes | 64.48 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 49.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On September 18, 2026, Donald Trump announced that the United States had entered into an agreement with the Kingdom of Denmark and Greenland concerning security in Greenland. The governments of Denmark and Greenland confirmed that an agreement is expected to be signed. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by Donald Trump on September 18, 2026 is officially released by the government of the United States, Denmark, or Greenland between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The "agreement announced by Donald Trump on September 18, 2026" includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement. The "text of the agreement" refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement. Public disclosures of the agreement's contents, including fact sheets, summaries, and descriptions of its terms, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify. A portion of the text of the agreement must be officially released by at least one of the governments of the United States, Denmark, or Greenland through official government channels or an authorized public release to the media. Leaks, unauthorized disclosures, or other unofficial publications will not qualify. Text of the agreement read aloud, without release in visual form, will not qualify. Government confirmation of the authenticity of leaked or otherwise unofficially disclosed text, without an official public release of the text itself, will not qualify. A joint statement or similar document will qualify only if it is officially released as specified in these rules and contains verbatim text of the written agreement itself or is itself the operative written agreement between the parties. A statement that merely announces or characterizes the agreement will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States, Denmark, and Greenland and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/greenland-deal-text-released-byptptpt
| Ethical-Bamboo | Yes | 14 |
| Ivory Quasar 70A8 | Yes | 14 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 5 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 0.68 |
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