Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 0.9% on 11 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 0.9% on 11 Nov 2025 and the low 0.1% on 13 Nov 2025. $484.9K traded over the market's life.
86 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 14, 4:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 3 points · 11 Nov 2025 – 13 Nov 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Nov 2025 | 0.9% |
| 13 Nov 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.38M |
| Cookedtan | Yes | 168.86K |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 100.33K |
| LlamaEnjoyer | Yes | 74.51K |
| Hagmaxxerz | Yes | 69.37K |
| sohrab | Yes | 20K |
| lissartter | Yes | 11.06K |
| slappy99 | Yes | 10.27K |
| Ohsean | Yes | 10K |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | Yes | 9.26K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to the calendar date (ET) of the first day which the U.S. The Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is not shut down due to a lapse in appropriations. A qualifying announcement date will determine this market's resolution, even if OPM lists a later reopening date (e.g., if OPM announces on November 10 that the government will reopen on November 11, the market will resolve to November 10). Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown. The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-day-will-the-government-shutdown-end
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