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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.97K | $0.002 | $5.94 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 423.12 |
| $0.006 |
| $2.54 |
| Mar 7, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 309 | $0.011 | $3.4 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 309 | $0.010 | $3.09 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.280 | $2.8 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 3?Yes | sell | 19.99 | $0.181 | $3.62 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 3?Yes | sell | 325 | $0.029 | $9.35 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 3?Yes | sell | 116 | $0.077 | $8.93 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 3?Yes | sell | 290 | $0.031 | $8.99 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.113 | $22.62 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 11.93 | $0.630 | $7.52 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on March 3?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.037 | $3.7 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| XRP all time high by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 323.12 | $0.017 | $5.49 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.820 | $8.2 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?Yes | sell | 135.7 | $0.123 | $16.7 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 186.63 | $0.025 | $4.6 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | sell | 248.87 | $0.140 | $34.84 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1.33K | $0.025 | $33.28 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?Yes | sell | 45.22 | $0.137 | $6.18 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on March 3?Yes | buy | 85.1 | $0.086 | $7.32 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on March 3?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.064 | $64 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 3?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.118 | $2.36 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 3?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.051 | $5.1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on March 3?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.480 | $24 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on March 3?Yes | buy | 49.56 | $0.063 | $3.12 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.128 | $12.8 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 3?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.043 | $4.3 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 3?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.043 | $8.6 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 3?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.034 | $3.06 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on March 3?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.086 | $8.6 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on March 3?Yes | buy | 28.31 | $0.085 | $2.41 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on March 3?Yes | buy | 15.9 | $0.140 | $2.23 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 5.12 | $0.160 | $0.82 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 37.21 | $0.150 | $5.58 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.220 | $6.6 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 92.89 | $0.124 | $11.56 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 8.81 | $0.130 | $1.15 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 30.47 | $0.130 | $3.96 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 29.99 | $0.140 | $4.2 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 69.51 | $0.080 | $5.56 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 55.83 | $0.090 | $5.02 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 104.72 | $0.110 | $11.52 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 186.77 | $0.110 | $20.54 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.360 | $5.04 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?Yes | buy | 12.41 | $0.210 | $2.61 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 94.01 | $0.100 | $9.4 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 82.19 | $0.120 | $9.86 | Feb 25, 2026 |