Analytics
Yes is at 32%, down 18 points from 50% when the market opened on 9 Jul 2026.
Across the 104 daily closes on record from 9 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (11 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50.5% on 11 Jul 2026 and the lowest 25.5% on 25 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 45.5%; a month before, 45%. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points down, to 43% on 13 Jul 2026.
It is one of 30 markets under “NBA: Team to Make Play-In”.
$3.03K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $674.3, with a 30.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 21 trades, $68.11 bought Yes and $769.61 bought No.
The largest Yes position is ndb1 with 373 shares; the largest No position is anciano with 581.
Trading closes on 16 May 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 104 points, 9 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 32.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| anciano | No | 580.52 |
| ndb1 | Yes | 372.8 |
| PrimePenguin | Yes | 182 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a spot in the 2027 NBA Play-In Tournament per the rules of the NBA. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2027 NBA Play-In Tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". The Playoffs, as well as any tiebreaker, will not be considered part of the NBA Play-In Tournament. If the 2027 NBA Play-In Tournament is cancelled, postponed to begin after May 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the full 8-team Play-In Tournament field has not been officially confirmed by the NBA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA and/or the clinching team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-team-to-make-play-in-20260708212312765
17 more markets, none above 37.5%.
| Stupendous-Donut |
| Yes |
| 30 |
| oliman2 | No | 29.84 |
| AlexRLG98 | Yes | 27.78 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 16.09 |
| Dsl007007 | Yes | 7.84 |
| winser | Yes | 6 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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