Analytics
Yes is at 1.8%, down 3.8 points from 5.5% when the market opened on 23 Jan 2026.
Across the 254 daily closes on record from 23 Jan 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (26 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 41% on 4 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 23 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.4%; a month before, 2.2%. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 30% on 30 Jan 2026.
2.5–2.7% ranks fourth of the 9 outcomes in “Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026”. 3.1%+ leads at 89%; 2.8-3.0% is at 5.9%.
$8.16K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $2.44K, with a 2.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 338 trades, $424.18 bought Yes and $1.61K bought No.
The largest Yes position is xiaoaojiang with 370 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.7K. Ten wallets hold 79.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 20 Jan 2027, 84 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 3:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 254 points, 23 Jan 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Jan 2026 | 5.5% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 1.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.69K |
| xiaoaojiang | Yes | 370 |
| Deadheadbucky | Yes | 312.01 |
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat. This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report. The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)". Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
| Flamboyant-Warming |
| Yes |
| 233 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 160.15 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 148.17 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 145.03 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 110.76 |
| dsfd3 | Yes | 105 |
| Tiempie | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/eurozone-2026-annual-inflation
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