Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 75 and 99 points?

Resolved

No, settled May 17, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$5.1K

Resolved

Settled

May 17, 2026 UTC

Topic roomEurovision

Where it stands

Resolved No on 17 May 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 37.5% on 8 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 8 May 2026 to 17 May 2026, the highest close was 37.5% on 8 May 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 17 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 14% on 10 May 2026. $5.15K traded over the market's life.

31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 17, 11:56 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 8 May 2026 – 17 May 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
8 May 2026	37.5%
17 May 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	3.21K
Anjun	Yes	2.3K
Keen Oracle 60E1	Yes	470.4
ebaniludik	Yes	300

10 of 31 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.