Question 1

What is the “Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May?” market asking?

Accepted Answer

It asks whether the following will happen: Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

Question 2

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Accepted Answer

At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

Question 3

When does this market close?

Accepted Answer

Trading is scheduled to close on Apr 30, 2025. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

Question 4

How does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union imposes any new or increased tariffs on the United States between February 1, and April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting the U.S. will qualify. For example, a global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the EU) will not count toward this market's resolution. Tariffs enacted by EU member states will not count. Only Tariffs imposed by the…

Question 5

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Accepted Answer

24h volume ($203.15K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Question 6

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Accepted Answer

Vultax loaded 14 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 99.9% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Question 7

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Accepted Answer

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Apr 16, 12:28 AM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Question 8

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

Accepted Answer

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-eu-impose-tariffs-on-the-us-before-may) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Bucket	Close	Mid
Apr 14, 12:00 AM	28.0%	28.0%
Apr 13, 12:00 AM	22.7%	22.7%
Apr 12, 12:00 AM	28.9%	28.9%

Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May?

Questions about this market