Analytics
Yes is at 33.5%, up 3.5 points from 30% when the market opened on 2 Oct 2026.
Across the 22 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 53% on 9 Oct 2026 and the lowest 18.5% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 38%. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 50% on 5 Oct 2026.
↑ 65 is the favourite of the 9 outcomes in “What will the Ethereum Implied Volatility Index hit by October 31?”, ahead of ↑ 60 at 32.5%.
$20 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.8K since listing. The order book holds $132.32, with a 31.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 47 trades, $206.89 bought Yes and $576.47 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 648 shares; the largest No position is ARB10086 with 440.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 12:50 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 2 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 30.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 33.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 647.57 |
| ARB10086 | No | 440.3 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 84.22 |
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Volmex 1 minute candle for the Ethereum Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index (EVIV) between the creation of this market and 23:59 ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” or “Low” value equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is Volmex, specifically the Ethereum Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index “High” and “Low” values available at https://charts.volmex.finance/symbol/EVIV, with the chart settings on “1m” for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the Ethereum Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-ethereum-implied-volatility-index-hit-by-october-31-2026
| QR1 | No | 79.99 |
| zhukov26 | No | 55 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 40 |
| SuSuDORIS | Yes | 40 |
| Jade Pulse 907E | No | 40 |
| Afito | No | 38.48 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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