Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 66%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 21 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 77.5% on 23 Apr 2026 and the low 6.5% on 27 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 12% on 22 Mar 2026. $57.59K traded over the market's life.
40 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 11:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 21 Mar 2026 – 30 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Mar 2026 | 49.5% |
| 30 Apr 2026 | 34.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| floooo | Yes | 1.75K |
| ContraQ | Yes | 835.1 |
| slipperyotter | Yes | 500 |
| dagojuarez | Yes | 300 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-the-dhs-shutdown-last
| ImJustKenVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | Yes | 203.91 |
| zendini | Yes | 175 |
| fakeso | Yes | 92.82 |
| Pushy-Someplace | Yes | 55.94 |
| xo.ox | Yes | 53.71 |
| 88mnm88 | Yes | 50 |
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