Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 28.5% on 18 Apr 2026. Before it settled, the high was 45.5% on 23 Apr 2026 and the low 0.1% on 1 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 0.1% on 1 May 2026. $1.29K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 10:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 11 points · 18 Apr 2026 – 1 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2026 | 28.5% |
| 1 May 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| FemmeInstinct | Yes | 100 |
| Ddonineteen | Yes | 97.47 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 49.99 |
| testoo7 | Yes | 48.8 |
| fakeso | Yes | 20.41 |
| Lunar Scout 5196 | Yes | 17.66 |
| polkiajd | No | 15 |
| Diligent-Relish | Yes | 11.22 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 6.88 |
| Golden Horizon 54D0 | Yes | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-the-dhs-shutdown-last
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