Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 4 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 23.6 | $0.034 | $5.1 | +$4.3 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.520 | $10.4 | Jun 23, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 30.06 |
| $0.003 |
| $0.09 |
| Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will the US lose jobs in June?Yes | sell | 57.2 | $0.005 | $0.31 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.028 | $0.85 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.004 | $0.22 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will 6 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 79.84 | $0.022 | $1.76 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will 5 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 96.5 | $0.026 | $2.54 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will 4 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 90.1 | $0.052 | $4.71 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will 3 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 54.99 | $0.046 | $2.51 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by June 30?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.026 | $1.04 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.031 | $1.55 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?Yes | sell | 69.98 | $0.040 | $2.8 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.081 | $6.09 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 50 | $0.700 | $35 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will 2 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 43.21 | $0.126 | $5.44 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will 2 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.79 | $0.140 | $0.95 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Nicki Minaj perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No | sell | 2.02 | $0.963 | $1.95 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Sam Smith perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No | sell | 2.02 | $0.962 | $1.94 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No | sell | 2.04 | $0.989 | $2.02 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Harry Styles perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No | sell | 3.96 | $0.968 | $3.83 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.193 | $3.86 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.310 | $6.2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | sell | 29.98 | $0.230 | $6.9 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will two people dissent the July Fed decision?No | sell | 17.39 | $0.903 | $15.7 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 50 | $0.690 | $34.5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes | buy | 99.99 | $0.166 | $16.6 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by June 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.050 | $2.5 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.080 | $4.8 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.042 | $4.2 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.028 | $1.39 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 26, 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.220 | $8.8 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.111 | $5.57 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.390 | $7.8 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.104 | $10.4 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes | sell | 24.02 | $0.255 | $6.13 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.170 | $17 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes | sell | 5.97 | $0.300 | $1.79 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision?No | sell | 21.25 | $0.966 | $20.53 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will three people dissent the July Fed decision?No | sell | 21.3 | $0.940 | $20.02 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 26, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.450 | $9 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.670 | $33.5 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 50 | $0.180 | $9 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.390 | $19.5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?No | sell | 25 | $0.400 | $10 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will three people dissent the June Fed decision?Yes | sell | 24.7 | $0.036 | $0.89 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?No | sell | 20 | $0.490 | $9.8 | Jun 17, 2026 |