Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?

politicsResolved

Yes, settled Sep 17, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$1.3K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Sep 17, 2026 UTC

Topic roomWorld elections

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 17 Sep 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 96.5% on 8 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 8 Sep 2026 to 17 Sep 2026, the highest close was 100% on 15 Sep 2026 and the lowest 91.2% on 13 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.9 points up, to 98.1% on 14 Sep 2026. $1.27K traded over the market's life.

8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 8 Sep 2026 – 17 Sep 2026, chart shows 85%–100%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
8 Sep 2026	96.5%
17 Sep 2026	100.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
a5533	No	50
.Menthe	No	49.98
Dr.PNL	No	19.2

8 of 8 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. Each market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified party receives at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise that market will resolve to "No". Seats will be counted only where they are attributed to the specified party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to "No". Each market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).