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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 423.2 | $0.958 | $418.12 | +$12.84 |
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Yisrael Beiteinu win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | buy | 16.62 | $0.890 | $14.79 | 52m ago |
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| Yes |
| 551.43 |
| $0.540 |
| $361.19 |
| +$63.36 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 807.66 | $0.485 | $359.41 | -$32.58 |
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 288.36 | $0.517 | $157.16 | +$8.14 |
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 139.74 | $0.993 | $139.25 | +$0.5 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | No | 353.54 | $0.557 | $132.58 | -$64.42 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 223.9 | $0.324 | $122.03 | +$49.38 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | No | 173.39 | $0.340 | $95.36 | +$36.46 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | Yes | 202.89 | $0.506 | $65.94 | -$36.77 |
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? | Yes | 81.42 | $0.720 | $52.92 | -$5.71 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 148.3 | $0.240 | $45.23 | +$9.64 |
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? | Yes | 142.63 | $0.290 | $42.07 | +$0.75 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 68.37 | $0.352 | $37.94 | +$13.84 |
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 48.19 | $0.426 | $28 | +$7.46 |
Will Unity win less than 0.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 16.82 | $0.964 | $16.23 | +$0.02 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 57.23 | $0.270 | $16.02 | +$0.57 |
Will Yisrael Beiteinu win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 16.62 | $0.890 | $14.71 | -$0.08 |
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? | No | 17.3 | $0.747 | $11.42 | -$1.5 |
AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 10.01 | $0.862 | $8.88 | +$0.25 |
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 182.74 | $0.054 | $6.67 | -$3.2 |
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | No | 6.05 | $0.994 | $5.98 | -$0.03 |
Will United Torah Judaism win 8% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 5.94 | $0.940 | $5.67 | +$0.09 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 9.85 | $0.660 | $5.66 | -$0.84 |
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | No | 5.56 | $0.890 | $5.2 | +$0.25 |
Will the Left Party (V) win seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections? | Yes | 4.99 | $0.998 | $4.96 | -$0.02 |
| sell |
| 4.95 |
| $0.230 |
| $1.14 |
| 3h ago |
Will Ra'am win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes | sell | 0.55 | $0.190 | $0.1 | 3h ago |
Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes | sell | 6.61 | $0.295 | $1.95 | 3h ago |
Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes | sell | 0.39 | $0.131 | $0.05 | 3h ago |
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.670 | $1.38 | 6h ago |
Will Unity win less than 0.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes | buy | 5.94 | $0.970 | $5.76 | 7h ago |
Will United Torah Judaism win 8% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | buy | 5.94 | $0.940 | $5.58 | 7h ago |
Will Unity win less than 0.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes | buy | 10.89 | $0.960 | $10.45 | 7h ago |
Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | sell | 8.51 | $0.780 | $6.64 | 7h ago |
Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | sell | 0.49 | $0.780 | $0.38 | 7h ago |
Will Ra'am win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes | buy | 5.5 | $0.200 | $1.1 | 18h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 9.85 | $0.660 | $6.5 | 19h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 9.71 | $0.350 | $3.4 | 19h ago |
Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | sell | 6 | $0.750 | $4.5 | 22h ago |
Will Otzma win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes | buy | 10.13 | $0.240 | $2.43 | 1d ago |
Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | buy | 15 | $0.800 | $12 | 1d ago |
Will Amcha Yisrael win 7-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes | sell | 0.4 | $0.110 | $0.04 | 1d ago |
Will Amcha Yisrael win 7-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | sell | 7.9 | $0.870 | $6.87 | 1d ago |
Will Amcha Yisrael win 7-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes | sell | 9.11 | $0.110 | $1 | 1d ago |
Will Amcha Yisrael win 7-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes | buy | 13.76 | $0.123 | $1.69 | 1d ago |
Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.150 | $1.05 | 1d ago |
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?No | sell | 0.82 | $0.971 | $0.8 | 1d ago |
Will the Left Party (V) win seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 4.99 | $0.998 | $4.98 | 1d ago |
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?No | buy | 3.88 | $0.680 | $2.64 | 1d ago |
Israel Election: Yashar & Together Run on Same List?No | buy | 4.95 | $0.990 | $4.9 | 1d ago |
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.280 | $0.56 | 1d ago |
Will Yashar win 30 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | sell | 14.61 | $0.890 | $13 | 2d ago |
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | 2d ago |
Israel Election: The Reservists & Blue and White Run on Same List?No | buy | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | 2d ago |
Will Smotrich and Ben Gvir run on the same party list?No | buy | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | 2d ago |
Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit & RZP Run on Same List?No | buy | 26 | $0.999 | $25.97 | 2d ago |
Will Amcha Yisrael win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | sell | 1.95 | $0.954 | $1.86 | 2d ago |
Will Amcha Yisrael win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | sell | 2 | $0.954 | $1.91 | 2d ago |
Will Amcha Yisrael win 7-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | buy | 7.9 | $0.840 | $6.64 | 2d ago |
Will Amcha Yisrael win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | buy | 3.96 | $0.980 | $3.88 | 2d ago |
Israel Election: New Economic Party & Amcha Yisrael Run on Same List?No | buy | 6 | $0.999 | $5.99 | 2d ago |
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?No | sell | 0.47 | $0.650 | $0.31 | 2d ago |
Israel Election: Yashar & Together Run on Same List?No | buy | 16 | $0.999 | $15.98 | 2d ago |
Will Yashar win 30 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | buy | 14.61 | $0.770 | $11.25 | 2d ago |
Will AfD win 46-49 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?No | buy | 3 | $0.998 | $2.99 | 2d ago |
Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?No | buy | 2.96 | $0.790 | $2.34 | 2d ago |
Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 5.5 | $0.170 | $0.94 | 2d ago |
Will RZP-Zehut win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.770 | $1.58 | 2d ago |
Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 5.5 | $0.200 | $1.1 | 2d ago |
Will CDU win between 23% and 26% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 3 | $0.998 | $2.99 | 2d ago |
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 42%?Over | buy | 2.04 | $0.950 | $1.94 | 3d ago |
Will Shas win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | buy | 3.92 | $0.960 | $3.76 | 3d ago |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.5 | $0.400 | $0.2 | 5d ago |
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 51 | $0.420 | $21.42 | 5d ago |