What is the “Will the CDU/CSU win by 4-6%?” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: Will the CDU/CSU win by 4-6%? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “CDU/CSU margin of victory?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to close on Feb 23, 2025 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the CDU/CSU (CDU/CSU-Fraktion im Deutschen Bundestag) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of party list votes received by CDU/CSU and the second-place party. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the 2025 German…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
24h volume ($65.24K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
$16.21K
No buy at 99.9%
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Mar 14, 12:00 AM UTC
Vultax loaded 10 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 100.0% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Mar 15, 12:35 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/cducsu-margin-of-victory) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
