Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 3 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 29 daily closes on record from 3 Jun 2026 to 1 Jul 2026, the highest close was 50% on 3 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 1 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 13.5% on 4 Jun 2026. $3.31K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 4:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 3 Jun 2026 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| frozenriver | Yes | 500 |
| fdw3 | Yes | 300 |
| tumadre | Yes | 40 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What will the Bitcoin Implied Volatility index hit by June 30?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-bitcoin-implied-volatility-index-hit-by-june-30
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 33.33 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| Wordy-Doctrine | Yes | 5 |
