Analytics
Yes is at 3.9%, down 56 points from 60% when the market opened on 2 Oct 2026.
Across the 23 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 60% on 2 Oct 2026 and the lowest 3.9% on 25 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 15%. Its largest one-day move was 49 points down, to 11% on 3 Oct 2026.
It is one of 8 markets under “What will the Bitcoin Implied Volatility Index hit by October 31?”.
$174 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.28K since listing. The order book holds $200.87, with a 4.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 43 trades, $99.15 bought Yes and $448.18 bought No.
The largest Yes position is AJSV with 342 shares; the largest No position is Badgery with 300.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 7 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 5:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 2 Oct 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 60.0% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 3.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AJSV | Yes | 342.09 |
| Badgery | No | 300 |
| EmethN1l2367 | Yes | 100 |
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Volmex 1 minute candle for the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index (BVIV) between the creation of this market and 23:59 ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” or “Low” value equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is Volmex, specifically the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index “High” and “Low” values available at https://charts.volmex.finance/symbol/BVIV, with the chart settings on “1m” for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-bitcoin-implied-volatility-index-hit-by-october-31-2026
| vinii |
| No |
| 60 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 58.3 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 43.78 |
| SuperTests | No | 40 |
| Quiet Beacon C822 | Yes | 20 |
| just-bettor | No | 20 |
| ZhouCD | No | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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