Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 2.1% on 4 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 87 daily closes on record from 4 Jul 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, the highest close was 37.1% on 24 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 27 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 37.1% on 11 Jul 2026. $758.68 traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 28, 7:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 87 points, 4 Jul 2026 – 28 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2026 | 2.1% |
| 28 Sep 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 646.86 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 150 |
| akko123 | Yes | 124.35 |
This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mlb-highest-abs-challenge-success-rate-team-20260702220030937
| Tee1000 |
| Yes |
| 35.07 |
| 75kfdd | Yes | 32.5 |
| cwc909 | Yes | 20 |
| iiixor | Yes | 18.69 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
| Ethical-Bamboo | Yes | 13.99 |
| Attached-Prairie | Yes | 2.04 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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