Will "The Bad Guys 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $16m and $19m?

Resolved

No, settled Aug 4, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$29.3K

Resolved

Settled

Aug 4, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 4 Aug 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 30 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2025 to 4 Aug 2025, the highest close was 25.5% on 30 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 4 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 0.7% on 2 Aug 2025. $29.35K traded over the market's life.

10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Aug 6, 12:40 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 30 Jul 2025 – 4 Aug 2025, chart shows 0%–40%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
30 Jul 2025	25.5%
4 Aug 2025	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	15.29K
Multicolored-Waterfall	Yes	700
SANYO	Yes	500
qwertzu	Yes	18.78

10 of 10 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to how much “The Bad Guys 2” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Bad-Guys-2-The-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 1 - August 3) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by August 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.