
Resolved Yes on 5 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 70%. Yes opened at 49% on 30 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 30 Oct 2025 to 5 Nov 2025, the highest close was 84% on 4 Nov 2025 and the lowest 23.5% on 31 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 84% on 4 Nov 2025. $2.58K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 6, 8:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 30 Oct 2025 – 5 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2025 | 49.0% |
| 5 Nov 2025 | 70.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.24K |
| lissartter | No | 218.05 |
| assertequal | No | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the time (ET) when the Associated Press (AP) first makes a definitive call of a winner for the 2025 Virginia governor election, held on November 4, 2025. A definitive call is an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or uses equivalent language indicating that the AP has determined the winner. The call must appear on one of the AP’s primary platforms (official website, AP News feed, television broadcast, or official AP social media account if used as a primary platform). The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the AP’s platform, not when it may have been decided internally or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market will still resolve based on the initial public call time. Mentions of other outlets’ calls, exit poll reports, conditional or speculative phrasing (e.g., “appears to,” “likely to,” “may have”), and opinion commentary do not qualify as a definitive call. If the Associated Press first call time falls exactly between two time brackets, this market will resolve to the later time bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press’ official reporting (https://apnews.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting confirming the timing of the first AP call may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/when-will-the-ap-call-the-virginia-governor-election
| No |
| 112 |
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