Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98%. Yes opened at 40.5% on 3 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 3 Sep 2026 to 7 Sep 2026, the highest close was 40.5% on 3 Sep 2026 and the lowest 2.1% on 7 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 2.1% on 7 Sep 2026. $2.53K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 3 Sep 2026 – 7 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Sep 2026 | 40.5% |
| 7 Sep 2026 | 2.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.7K |
| balthazar | Yes | 700 |
| Railcool | Yes | 367 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid second votes in this election. If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes received by the political party that wins the most valid second votes and the political party that wins the second-most valid second votes. Percentages of the valid second votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid second votes cast in the election. If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.” If any unlisted party wins the most valid second votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/sachsen-anhalt-parliamentary-election-margin-of-victory
| Yes |
| 130.76 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 49.99 |
| Heldenkampf | Yes | 20 |
| Ethical-Bamboo | Yes | 14 |
| Ivory Quasar 70A8 | Yes | 14 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
| Bigggggggg | Yes | 7.51 |
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