Analytics
Yes is at 40.5% on Polymarket.
It is one of 6 markets under “How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?”.
$239.09 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $722.72, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is mavsgseguritas with 45 shares; the largest No position is ggwellplayista with 90.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 70 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 10:58 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 35%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2026 | 40.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ggwellplayista | No | 90 |
| mavsgseguritas | Yes | 45.46 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date from market creation to December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-high-will-10-year-treasury-yield-go-before-2027
| AJSV |
| Yes |
| 20 |
| Verified.Counts | Yes | 4.55 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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