Resolved Yes on 22 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.3%. Yes opened at 59.5% on 7 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 7 Jul 2026 to 22 Jul 2026, the highest close was 99.3% on 22 Jul 2026 and the lowest 48% on 10 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 75% on 11 Jul 2026. $18.15K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 23, 3:14 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 7 Jul 2026 – 22 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jul 2026 | 59.5% |
| 22 Jul 2026 | 99.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.27K |
| 0x4207c4f53b785c6dOd48512a497ebd845c29b81b | No | 386.55 |
| TouchDownThana | No | 300 |
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic nomination for Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction. The Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Arizona Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/arizona-superintendent-of-public-instruction-democratic-primary-winner-20260706145902302
| doudouc | No | 100 |
| Sentimental-Asparagus | No | 100 |
| Dualchip | No | 50 |
| sirjhow01 | No | 50 |
| UTILIZADOR2 | No | 50 |
| PPMT | No | 30 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page