Analytics
Yes is at 16%, down 1.5 points from 17.5% when the market opened on 30 Aug 2026.
Across the 53 daily closes on record from 30 Aug 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 51% on 10 Oct 2026 and the lowest 6.5% on 18 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 14.5%; a month before, 10.5%. Its largest one-day move was 37 points up, to 47% on 2 Oct 2026.
$137.47 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $388.08, with a 22.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is flamerrr with 40 shares; the largest No position is PubgWithoutSaving with 77.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 8:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 53 points, 30 Aug 2026 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2026 | 17.5% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 15.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PubgWithoutSaving | No | 77.47 |
| flamerrr | Yes | 40 |
| pppnn | Yes | 17.47 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Vitality's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Team Vitality" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/9565/vitality#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: apEX, ZywOo, flameZ, mezii, ropz. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. "Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-team-vitality-make-a-roster-change-by-december-31
| lolzzzlol |
| Yes |
| 10 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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