Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 79.5%. Yes opened at 16% on 2 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 62 daily closes on record from 2 Jul 2026 to 1 Sep 2026, the highest close was 83% on 18 Jul 2026 and the lowest 10.4% on 16 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 43.5% on 19 Jul 2026. $4.47K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 62 points, 2 Jul 2026 – 1 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2026 | 16.0% |
| 1 Sep 2026 | 20.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SmartBoyBilly | Yes | 192 |
| lonmi2511 | Yes | 139.74 |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Liquid's main VALORANT roster (defined as the players listed with "Active" status in the roster table on Team Liquid's Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/valorant/Team_Liquid) by August 31, 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: nAts, kamo, purp0, Kicks, trexx. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. Roster change refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starting lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. Coach and staff changes, and temporary stand-ins/substitutes will not count. A player appearing in the active lineup for matches or events solely as a designated substitute or stand-in for a single event does not count toward a roster change. To qualify, a roster change must be officially confirmed by Team Liquid or the player involved; leaks, rumors, or unconfirmed reporting do not count until officially confirmed. A qualifying roster change must occur on or before the deadline, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted or removed before 48 hours have elapsed, the window resets and will not count toward resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/valorant/Team_Liquid), however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-team-liquid-make-a-roster-change-before-september-20260701203528368
| Yes |
| 30 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 20 |
| WMNB | Yes | 5 |
| meow-123 | Yes | 3.74 |
| chadefe | Yes | 0.61 |
| TrakinB | Yes | 0.02 |
| 26kmhou | Yes | 0.01 |
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