Analytics
Resolved No on 5 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 20% on 14 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 112 daily closes on record from 14 Jan 2025 to 5 May 2025, the highest close was 20% on 14 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 2.5% on 15 Jan 2025. $618.9K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 5, 4:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 112 points, 14 Jan 2025 – 5 May 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2025 | 20.0% |
| 5 May 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 599.01K |
| reverb | Yes | 75.09K |
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 7.95K |
The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on or before 17 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tanya Plibersek is the next Prime Minister of Australia following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Prime Minister of Australia is announced by December 31, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-australia
| muurtorr | Yes | 2K |
| Tyrny | Yes | 1K |
| DollaryDoos | Yes | 1K |
| rree55 | Yes | 500 |
| TrumpT0wer | Yes | 500 |
| JK47AUS | Yes | 500 |
| PolyDump | Yes | 144.34 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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