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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trump out as President by April 30?No | buy | 10.05 | $0.995 | $10 | Apr 22, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 2.9 |
| $0.690 |
| $2 |
| Apr 22, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.938 | $1 | Nov 14, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.824 | $1 | Oct 18, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Oct 18, 2025 |
Maduro out in 2025?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.190 | $1.19 | Oct 18, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?No | buy | 15.51 | $0.980 | $15.2 | Oct 7, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Sep 18, 2025 |
Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Sep 9, 2025 |
Will Joey Chestnut eat 70+ Hot Dogs?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?Yes | sell | 3.01 | $0.998 | $3 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 11.53 | $0.220 | $2.54 | Jul 2, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.54 | $0.260 | $3 | Jun 27, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | buy | 4.01 | $0.997 | $4 | Jun 27, 2025 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 3.02 | $0.994 | $3 | Jun 27, 2025 |
Nothing Ever Happens: JuneNo | buy | 3.51 | $0.570 | $2 | Jun 11, 2025 |
Nothing Ever Happens: JuneYes | sell | 5.66 | $0.430 | $2.43 | Jun 11, 2025 |
Nothing Ever Happens: JuneYes | buy | 5.66 | $0.530 | $3 | Jun 10, 2025 |
Will Magdalena Biejat be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | May 10, 2025 |
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 2.94 | $0.220 | $0.65 | May 10, 2025 |
Will Tanya Plibersek be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Apr 14, 2025 |
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 7, 2025 |
Will Kanye launch a coin by March 7?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Mar 7, 2025 |
Ripple above $2.15 on March 7?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Mar 7, 2025 |
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Feb 14, 2025 |
Ethereum all time high by January 31?No | buy | 3.02 | $0.995 | $3 | Jan 26, 2025 |
Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 10.13 | $0.984 | $9.97 | Jan 6, 2025 |
Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 10.13 | $0.987 | $10 | Jan 1, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?Yes | buy | 55.5 | $0.060 | $3.33 | Dec 29, 2024 |
Ethereum all time high in 2024?No | buy | 30.18 | $0.994 | $30 | Dec 27, 2024 |
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Dec 23, 2024 |
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?Yes | buy | 1.66 | $0.800 | $1.33 | Dec 19, 2024 |
Will Usyk beat Fury?Yes | sell | 142.85 | $0.540 | $77.14 | Dec 19, 2024 |
Will Usyk beat Fury?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.560 | $80 | Dec 16, 2024 |
Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Dec 11, 2024 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 79.55 | $0.941 | $74.87 | Dec 11, 2024 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 79.55 | $0.942 | $74.94 | Dec 11, 2024 |
<180 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?Yes | sell | 75.32 | $0.995 | $74.94 | Dec 11, 2024 |
<180 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?Yes | buy | 75.32 | $0.997 | $75.09 | Dec 11, 2024 |
<180 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?Yes | sell | 75.52 | $0.993 | $74.99 | Dec 10, 2024 |
<180 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?Yes | buy | 75.53 | $0.993 | $75 | Dec 10, 2024 |
Ripple above $2.39 on December 13?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Dec 10, 2024 |
Solana above $240 on December 13?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Dec 10, 2024 |
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Dec 10, 2024 |
Ethereum above $4,000 on December 13?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Dec 10, 2024 |
MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Dec 8, 2024 |
Bucks vs. NetsBucks | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | Dec 8, 2024 |
Will McLaren win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?Yes | sell | 82.18 | $0.999 | $82.1 | Dec 8, 2024 |
Will McLaren win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?Yes | buy | 82.18 | $0.999 | $82.1 | Dec 8, 2024 |
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?No | sell | 82.76 | $0.992 | $82.1 | Dec 8, 2024 |