Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?

sportsResolved

Yes, settled Oct 20, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$573.3K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Oct 20, 2026 UTC

Topic roomMLB

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 20 Oct 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 80.9%. Yes opened at 6% on 20 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 224 daily closes on record from 20 Feb 2026 to 20 Oct 2026 (19 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 80.9% on 20 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.9% on 25 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 41.4% on 14 Oct 2026. $573.28K traded over the market's life.

99 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 21, 4:41 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 224 points, 20 Feb 2026 – 20 Oct 2026

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	46.34K
qurty	Yes	15.7K
-Guapo--	No	5.39K

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.