Analytics
Yes is at 1.4%, down 24 points from 25% when the market opened on 10 Sep 2026.
Across the 46 daily closes on record from 10 Sep 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 36% on 11 Sep 2026 and the lowest 1.4% on 21 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.1%; a month before, 25%. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 35.5% on 17 Sep 2026.
Tajikistan ranks 16th of the 24 outcomes in “AFC Asian Cup 2027 Winner”. Japan leads at 30.5%; South Korea is at 23%.
$77 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $196.55, with a 1.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is 0xdc3E831cad with 704 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 948.
Trading closes on 6 Feb 2027, 102 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 9:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 46 points, 10 Sep 2026 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | 25.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 1.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 947.61 |
| 0xdc3E831cad | Yes | 703.61 |
| Violet Maven 063C | Yes | 135 |
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 AFC Asian Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup per the rules of the AFC (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 AFC Asian Cup is cancelled, postponed after February 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the AFC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/afc-asian-cup-2027-winner
11 more outcomes, none above 1.6%.
| SpringlyFawl | Yes | 50 |
| Bulky-Helo-Athlete | Yes | 37 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 31 |
| cigarettes | No | 10 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 5 |
| PPMT | No | 4 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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