Analytics
Yes is at 32.5%, down 6.5 points from 39% when the market opened on 7 Aug 2026.
Across the 81 daily closes on record from 7 Aug 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 66.5% on 15 Aug 2026 and the lowest 22% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 40%; a month before, 40%. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 28% on 13 Sep 2026.
It is one of 40 markets under “Which Teams Will Make a Roster Change Before December?”.
$80 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.87K since listing. The order book holds $191.1, with a 13.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 40 trades, $478.04 bought Yes and $181.75 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Kukapol with 600 shares; the largest No position is Anjun with 407.
Trading closes on 1 Dec 2026, 34 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 5:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 81 points, 7 Aug 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 39.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 32.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Kukapol | Yes | 599.97 |
| Anjun | No | 407.34 |
| Unnatural-Insulation | Yes | 105.28 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves the listed team's active League of Legends roster (defined as the active lineup listed on the listed team's Liquipedia page) by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The relevant roster is whichever active lineup is listed on the resolution source at market creation. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. A qualifying roster change must occur on or before the deadline, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted or removed before 48 hours have elapsed, the window resets and will not count toward resolution. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single match will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-teams-will-make-a-roster-change-before-december-20260806154016844
27 more markets, none above 81.0%.
| AMAM13 |
| No |
| 96 |
| Maximus374 | Yes | 60 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | 59.5 |
| chessplayer | No | 59 |
| JustADonk | No | 52 |
| justmeandme | No | 51 |
| title1 | No | 40 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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