
Resolved Yes on 28 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 50.5%. Yes opened at 54% on 5 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 50 daily closes on record from 5 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 60.5% on 17 Sep 2026 and the lowest 21.5% on 7 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 31.5% on 14 Oct 2026. $8.14K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 28, 8:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 50 points, 5 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | 54.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 50.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 334.68 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 233.13 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | 117.83 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Meander Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/meander-valley-mayoral-election-winner-2026
| No |
| 100 |
| SnapElectionAvoider | No | 88.98 |
| Haradwaith | No | 70.2 |
| SmartBoyBilly | No | 50 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 38 |
| PPMT | No | 30.09 |
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