Analytics
Resolved Yes on 20 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 12 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 152 daily closes on record from 12 Dec 2025 to 20 May 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.8% on 19 May 2026 and the lowest 47.5% on 12 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 48.5% on 23 Dec 2025. $6.78K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 21, 2:11 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 152 points, 12 Dec 2025 – 20 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2025 | 47.5% |
| 20 May 2026 | 99.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 631.45 |
| Misty Summit 3196 | No | 158.37 |
| 5-min | No | 116.31 |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Pennsylvania, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Pennsylvania Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pennsylvania-governor-republican-primary-winner
| HerrieDavis | No | 81.61 |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | No | 81 |
| Swift Vector 6BBD | No | 80.77 |
| hesure | No | 10 |
| Timelord-bot | No | 9.42 |
| p3eFbv0H3b | No | 6.58 |
| Grandiose-Layer | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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