Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 83.5%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 2 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 30 daily closes on record from 2 Jul 2026 to 1 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 83.5% on 1 Aug 2026 and the lowest 13.5% on 9 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 29 points up, to 79% on 31 Jul 2026. $8.34K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 7:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 30 points, 2 Jul 2026 – 1 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2026 | 48.5% |
| 1 Aug 2026 | 83.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.44K |
| ganjubas22 | No | 90 |
| CubaLibra | No | 50.05 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its Initial Public Offering (IPO). The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by SpaceX to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spacex-closing-market-cap-end-of-july-20260630213828808
| No |
| 45 |
| hesure | No | 10 |
| balthazar | No | 5.89 |
| Crimson Kestrel EEA2 | Yes | 5.45 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
| nobody12138 | No | 5 |
| Weepy-Item | No | 5 |
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