Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 46.5% on 27 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 36 daily closes on record from 27 Aug 2026 to 1 Oct 2026, the highest close was 99.8% on 28 Sep 2026 and the lowest 43% on 30 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 63.5% on 3 Sep 2026. $1.97K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 27 Aug 2026 – 1 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Aug 2026 | 46.5% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 99.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 247.85 |
| Attached-Prairie | No | 162.5 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | No | 160 |
| PPMT | No | 30.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between September 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-spacex-launches-in-september-2026
New to prediction markets?
| jfkjdfj3 | No | 20 |
| Mojito9 | No | 20 |
| thursdays | No | 15 |
| Ethical-Bamboo | No | 14 |
| Respire | No | 1.69 |
