Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 92%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 5 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 5 Jun 2026 to 29 Jun 2026, the highest close was 41% on 7 Jun 2026 and the lowest 8% on 29 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 33.5% on 6 Jun 2026. $9.65K traded over the market's life.
39 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 6:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 5 Jun 2026 – 29 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Jun 2026 | 12.5% |
| 29 Jun 2026 | 8.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 152.3 |
| Scaly-Arena | Yes | 83.33 |
| acc32 | Yes | 83.33 |
| guge1414 | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between June 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-spacex-launches-in-june-2026
New to prediction markets?
| RoadToM3in2026 | Yes | 50 |
| hao303 | Yes | 50 |
| gegeok1 | Yes | 50 |
| bulbnbob | Yes | 50 |
| hei2-258 | Yes | 50 |
| gugu1 | Yes | 50 |
